Harris Vs Trump Polls 2024 Who Is Winning. Harris’ edge with women is a bit tighter in nevada (51% support her, 46% trump). That closer margin is largely driven by the relative lack of a gender gap among white likely.

538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing democrat kamala harris’s and republican donald trump’s chances of winning. Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll’s recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.